Single poll

YouGov poll of 13 July 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
10 to 12 Jul 2017
Respondents
1,535
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%±0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • AfD8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 29 Jun 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,535 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 29 Jun 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 38.7
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • FDP +0.3average 8.7
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
  • AfD +0.2average 7.8
  • SPD ±0average 24.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 249 seatsSPD: 158 seatsFDP: 59 seatsLinke: 59 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU249
  • SPD158
  • FDP59
  • Linke59
  • Grüne53
  • AfD52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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