Single poll
YouGov poll of 13 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,752
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,752 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Sep 2024, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Aug 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.8average 11.2
- Freie Wähler -1.3average 2.3
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- AfD +0.7average 17.3
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 32.6
- SPD -0.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
- BSW ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- AfD134
- SPD104
- Grüne96
- BSW59
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne334 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 16 Aug 2024YouGov, 10 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.