Infratest dimap poll of 20 June 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- MDR
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,157
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD30.0%-5.0
- CDU29.0%-1.0
- BSW15.0%+7.0
- SPD7.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Jan 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,157 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by MDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Jan 2024, BSW gains 7.0 points, AfD loses 5.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BSW 2.2 points higher and CDU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.2average 12.8
- CDU -1.8average 30.8
- SPD +1.3average 5.7
- Grüne +1.2average 5.8
- AfD -1.0average 31.0
- Linke -1.0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD41
- CDU39
- BSW20
- SPD10
- Grüne10
- AfD + CDU80 of 120
- AfD + BSW61 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD69 of 120
- CDU + BSW + Grüne69 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.