Infratest dimap poll of 25 January 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- MDR
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 23 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,177
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD35.0%+11.0
- CDU30.0%+3.0
- BSW8.0%
- SPD7.0%-6.0
- Grüne7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-6.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Feb 2022.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,177 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 Jan 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by MDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 24 Feb 2022, AfD gains 11.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, Linke loses 6.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 4.3 points lower and CDU 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -4.3average 8.3
- CDU -3.3average 33.3
- SPD +2.0average 5.0
- AfD +0.5average 34.5
- Grüne +0.5average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD48
- CDU41
- BSW11
- SPD10
- Grüne10
- AfD + CDU89 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD69 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne69 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne68 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD62 of 120
- CDU + BSW + Grüne62 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.