Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 24 February 2022 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
MDR
Fieldwork period
17 to 22 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,178
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU27.0%-8.0
  • AfD24.0%+3.0
  • SPD13.0%+2.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Aug 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,178 people were surveyed from 17 to 22 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by MDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Aug 2021, CDU loses 8.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -2.0average 9.0
  • AfD -1.3average 25.3
  • CDU -1.0average 28.0
  • SPD -0.5average 13.5
  • Linke ±0average 10.0
  • Grüne ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 36 seatsAfD: 32 seatsSPD: 18 seatsLinke: 14 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU36
  • AfD32
  • SPD18
  • Linke14
  • Grüne11
  • FDP9
  • CDU + AfD68 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Linke68 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne65 of 120
  • AfD + SPD + Linke64 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne61 of 120
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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