Infratest dimap poll of 22 August 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,566
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU31.0%+2.0
- AfD30.0%±0
- BSW14.0%-1.0
- SPD7.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jun 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 1,566 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jun 2024, CDU gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 1.6 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.6average 32.6
- SPD +1.5average 5.5
- BSW +0.7average 13.3
- Grüne +0.6average 5.4
- AfD -0.5average 30.5
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU42
- AfD41
- BSW19
- SPD10
- Grüne8
- CDU + AfD83 of 120
- CDU + BSW61 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD70 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne68 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.