Civey poll of 7 January 2025 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Online
- AfD36.0%+6.0
- CDU32.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%+1.0
- BSW7.0%-3.0
- SPD5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- FDP2.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Apr 2024.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 36.0%, followed by CDU on 32.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 23 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Apr 2024, AfD gains 6.0 points, BSW loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has BSW 6.3 points lower and AfD 5.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -6.3average 13.3
- AfD +5.2average 30.8
- SPD -1.4average 6.4
- Grüne +1.3average 5.7
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
- FDP +0.5average 1.5
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
- CDU ±0average 32.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD49
- CDU44
- Grüne10
- BSW10
- SPD7
- AfD + CDU93 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + BSW69 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD66 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + BSW64 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.