Single poll

Civey poll of 7 April 2025 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Sächsische Zeitung
Fieldwork period
23 Mar 2025 to 7 Apr 2025
Respondents
2,501
Method
Online
  • AfD34.0%-2.0
  • CDU32.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+4.0
  • BSW8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • SPD5.0%±0
  • FDP2.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler2.0%±0
  • Others3.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Jan 2025.

In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 32.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 23 Mar 2025 to 7 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Jan 2025, Linke gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has BSW 5.3 points lower and Linke 4.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -5.3average 13.3
  • Linke +4.4average 3.6
  • AfD +3.2average 30.8
  • SPD -1.4average 6.4
  • Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
  • FDP +0.5average 1.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 5.7
  • CDU ±0average 32.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

AfD: 44 seatsCDU: 42 seatsLinke: 10 seatsBSW: 10 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsSPD: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • AfD44
  • CDU42
  • Linke10
  • BSW10
  • Grüne8
  • SPD6
  • AfD + CDU86 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + BSW64 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne62 of 120
  • AfD + BSW + Grüne62 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + BSW62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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