Civey poll of 8 July 2025 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Jun 2025 to 6 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Online
- AfD34.0%±0
- CDU29.0%-3.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- BSW9.0%+1.0
- SPD5.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- FDP1.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Apr 2025.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 22 Jun 2025 to 6 Jul 2025, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Apr 2025, CDU loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 3.0 points higher and BSW 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.0average 26.0
- BSW -2.0average 11.0
- AfD -1.0average 35.0
- Linke +1.0average 9.0
- SPD -1.0average 6.0
- Grüne ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD44
- CDU38
- Linke13
- BSW12
- SPD7
- Grüne6
- AfD + CDU82 of 120
- AfD + Linke + BSW69 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD64 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne63 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + Linke + BSW63 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.