Civey poll of 4 August 2025 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 20 Jul 2025 to 4 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Online
- AfD35.0%+1.0
- CDU27.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW9.0%±0
- SPD6.0%+1.0
- Grüne6.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- FDP1.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Jul 2025.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 20 Jul 2025 to 4 Aug 2025, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Jul 2025, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has BSW 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.0average 11.0
- CDU +1.0average 26.0
- Linke +1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +1.0average 5.0
- AfD ±0average 35.0
- SPD ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD45
- CDU34
- Linke13
- BSW12
- SPD8
- Grüne8
- AfD + CDU79 of 120
- AfD + Linke + BSW70 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD65 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne65 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.