Civey poll of 6 January 2026 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung / Leipziger Volkszeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 21 Dec 2025 to 4 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Online
- AfD35.0%±0
- CDU29.0%+2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW8.0%-1.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- FDP1.0%±0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Aug 2025.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 21 Dec 2025 to 4 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung / Leipziger Volkszeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Aug 2025, CDU gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 3.0 points higher and BSW 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +3.0average 26.0
- BSW -3.0average 11.0
- Linke +1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +1.0average 5.0
- AfD ±0average 35.0
- SPD ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD44
- CDU37
- Linke13
- BSW10
- SPD8
- Grüne8
- AfD + CDU81 of 120
- AfD + Linke + BSW67 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD65 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne65 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD62 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.