Civey poll of 3 April 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Mar 2024 to 2 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 3,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU31.0%-2.0
- AfD30.0%-7.0
- BSW10.0%
- SPD6.0%+3.0
- Grüne6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-3.0
- FDP3.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Jan 2024.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 3,002 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2024 to 2 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Jan 2024, AfD loses 7.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.5average 33.5
- BSW +0.9average 9.1
- FDP +0.8average 2.2
- CDU +0.6average 30.4
- Grüne -0.6average 6.6
- SPD -0.5average 6.5
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU42
- AfD41
- BSW14
- SPD8
- Grüne8
- Linke7
- CDU + AfD83 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD64 of 120
- CDU + BSW + Grüne64 of 120
- CDU + BSW + Linke63 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD63 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne63 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Linke62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.