INSA poll of 31 August 2023 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung / Freie Presse / Leipziger Volkszeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 22 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,500
- Method
- Online
- AfD35.0%+7.0
- CDU29.0%+4.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- SPD7.0%-5.0
- Grüne6.0%-3.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Apr 2022.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 11 to 22 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung / Freie Presse / Leipziger Volkszeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Apr 2022, AfD gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.7 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.7average 31.3
- CDU -3.0average 32.0
- SPD -2.5average 9.5
- Grüne -2.0average 8.0
- FDP +2.0average 3.0
- Linke -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD46
- CDU38
- Linke12
- SPD9
- Grüne8
- FDP7
- AfD + CDU84 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + FDP65 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne63 of 120
- AfD + SPD + FDP62 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + FDP61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.