Single poll
INSA poll of 19 March 2024 for the Saxony state election
- State
- Saxony
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Aug 2023, Linke loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.5average 8.5
- Grüne -2.1average 7.1
- CDU -1.1average 31.1
- AfD -0.3average 34.3
- Linke -0.3average 5.3
- SPD +0.2average 5.8
- FDP +0.2average 1.8
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD45
- CDU39
- BSW14
- SPD8
- Grüne7
- Linke7
- AfD + CDU84 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Linke66 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD61 of 120
More
More polls
← INSA, 31 Aug 2023INSA, 19 Jun 2024 →Average of all pollsters: SaxonySunday question Saxony2025 federal election in SaxonyChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.