INSA poll of 19 March 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD34.0%-1.0
- CDU30.0%+1.0
- BSW11.0%
- SPD6.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-4.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- FDP2.0%-3.0
- Others4.0%-5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Aug 2023, Linke loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.5average 8.5
- Grüne -2.1average 7.1
- CDU -1.1average 31.1
- AfD -0.3average 34.3
- Linke -0.3average 5.3
- SPD +0.2average 5.8
- FDP +0.2average 1.8
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD45
- CDU39
- BSW14
- SPD8
- Grüne7
- Linke7
- AfD + CDU84 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Linke66 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.