INSA poll of 19 June 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung / Freie Presse / Leipziger Volkszeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,500
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD32.0%-2.0
- CDU30.0%±0
- BSW15.0%+4.0
- SPD5.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- FDP2.0%±0
- Others7.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Mar 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Jun 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung / Freie Presse / Leipziger Volkszeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Mar 2024, BSW gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 6.1 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +6.1average 8.9
- Grüne -1.9average 6.9
- SPD -1.5average 6.5
- CDU -0.6average 30.6
- AfD -0.5average 32.5
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- FDP -0.5average 2.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD44
- CDU41
- BSW21
- SPD7
- Grüne7
- AfD + CDU85 of 120
- AfD + BSW65 of 120
- CDU + BSW62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.