INSA poll of 16 August 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung / Freie Presse / Leipziger Volkszeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,500
- Method
- Online
- AfD32.0%±0
- CDU29.0%-1.0
- BSW15.0%±0
- SPD5.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%
- FDP2.0%±0
- Others3.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung / Freie Presse / Leipziger Volkszeitung.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2024, CDU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.5average 31.5
- AfD +2.0average 30.0
- BSW +2.0average 13.0
- SPD -1.5average 6.5
- Grüne -1.5average 6.5
- Linke +1.5average 3.5
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.3average 2.3
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD42
- CDU38
- BSW19
- SPD7
- Grüne7
- Linke7
- AfD + CDU80 of 120
- AfD + BSW61 of 120
- CDU + BSW + SPD64 of 120
- CDU + BSW + Grüne64 of 120
- CDU + BSW + Linke64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.