INSA poll of 24 August 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD32.0%±0
- CDU30.0%+1.0
- BSW15.0%±0
- SPD6.0%+1.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Aug 2024, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.9 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.9average 32.9
- AfD +2.0average 30.0
- BSW +2.0average 13.0
- Grüne -0.6average 5.6
- SPD -0.3average 6.3
- Linke +0.1average 3.9
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD44
- CDU41
- BSW20
- SPD8
- Grüne7
- AfD + CDU85 of 120
- AfD + BSW64 of 120
- CDU + BSW61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.