INSA poll of 7 June 2025 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- NIUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 May 2025 to 4 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD35.0%+3.0
- CDU26.0%-4.0
- BSW11.0%-4.0
- Linke9.0%+5.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 28 May 2025 to 4 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Aug 2024, Linke gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, BSW loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 6.0 points lower and BSW 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -6.0average 32.0
- BSW +3.0average 8.0
- AfD +1.0average 34.0
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- SPD +1.0average 5.0
- Grüne -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD45
- CDU34
- BSW14
- Linke12
- SPD8
- Grüne7
- AfD + CDU79 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Linke71 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD65 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.