Single poll
INSA poll of 21 May 2026 for the Saxony state election
- State
- Saxony
- Commissioned by
- NIUS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 20 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 42.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jun 2025, AfD gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, BSW loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 8.0 points lower and AfD 7.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -8.0average 29.0
- AfD +7.0average 35.0
- Linke -1.0average 10.0
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- SPD ±0average 6.0
- Grüne ±0average 6.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD55
- CDU28
- Linke12
- BSW9
- SPD8
- Grüne8
- AfD + CDU83 of 120
- AfD + Linke67 of 120
- AfD + BSW64 of 120
- AfD + SPD63 of 120
- AfD + Grüne63 of 120
More
More polls
← INSA, 7 Jun 2025Average of all pollsters: SaxonySunday question Saxony2025 federal election in SaxonyChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.