Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 December 2022 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 20 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,020
- Method
- Online
- AfD31.0%+1.0
- CDU29.5%-4.5
- SPD10.5%+3.5
- Grüne9.5%+2.5
- Linke8.0%-2.0
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%-1.0
31.0%
+1.0
AfD
29.5%
-4.5
CDU
10.5%
+3.5
SPD
9.5%
+2.5
Grüne
8.0%
-2.0
Linke
3.5%
+0.5
FDP
8.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 29.5%. 1,020 people were surveyed from 18 to 20 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 Sep 2022, CDU loses 4.5 points, SPD gains 3.5 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points.
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD42
- CDU40
- SPD14
- Grüne13
- Linke11
- AfD + CDU82 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne69 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke67 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne67 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke65 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke64 of 120
More
More polls
← Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 20 Sep 2022Institut Wahlkreisprognose, 28 May 2023 →Average of all pollsters: SaxonyChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.