Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 20 September 2022 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU34.0%-1.0
- AfD30.0%+2.0
- Linke10.0%+2.5
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- Grüne7.0%-2.5
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Jun 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 Jun 2022, Linke gains 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.5 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 8.0 points higher and SPD 5.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +8.0average 26.0
- SPD -5.5average 12.5
- AfD +4.0average 26.0
- FDP -4.0average 7.0
- Grüne -1.5average 8.5
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU46
- AfD41
- Linke14
- SPD10
- Grüne9
- CDU + AfD87 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD70 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne65 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD65 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.