Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 June 2022 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 15 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Online
- CDU35.0%+2.0
- AfD28.0%+1.0
- Grüne9.5%±0
- SPD9.0%-3.0
- Linke7.5%+2.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by AfD on 28.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 7 to 15 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 May 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 9.0 points higher and FDP 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +9.0average 26.0
- FDP -4.0average 7.0
- SPD -3.5average 12.5
- AfD +2.0average 26.0
- Linke -2.0average 9.5
- Grüne +1.0average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU47
- AfD38
- Grüne13
- SPD12
- Linke10
- CDU + AfD85 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + SPD72 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke70 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke69 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + SPD63 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.