Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 May 2022 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Online
- CDU33.0%+4.0
- AfD27.0%+0.5
- SPD12.0%-3.0
- Grüne9.5%+0.5
- Linke5.5%-0.5
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Apr 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 27.0%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 Apr 2022, CDU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 7.0 points higher and Linke 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +7.0average 26.0
- Linke -4.0average 9.5
- FDP -3.0average 7.0
- AfD +1.0average 26.0
- Grüne +1.0average 8.5
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU45
- AfD37
- SPD17
- Grüne13
- Linke8
- CDU + AfD82 of 120
- CDU + SPD62 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne67 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke66 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.