Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 1 April 2022 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Mar 2022 to 1 Apr 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.0%+7.0
- AfD26.5%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-4.0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-5.0
- Others9.5%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Oct 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 26.5%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 26 Mar 2022 to 1 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Oct 2021, CDU gains 7.0 points, FDP loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 4.0 points lower and AfD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -4.0average 10.0
- AfD +2.5average 24.0
- CDU +2.0average 27.0
- SPD +2.0average 13.0
- FDP -2.0average 7.0
- Grüne +1.0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU38
- AfD35
- SPD20
- Grüne12
- Linke8
- FDP7
- CDU + AfD73 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne70 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne67 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP65 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke63 of 120
- AfD + SPD + FDP62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.