Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 October 2021 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.5%
- CDU22.0%
- SPD19.0%
- FDP10.0%
- Grüne9.0%
- Linke7.0%
- Others7.5%
25.5%
AfD
22.0%
CDU
19.0%
SPD
10.0%
FDP
9.0%
Grüne
7.0%
Linke
7.5%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 25.5%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 12.5 points lower and SPD 9.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -12.5average 34.5
- SPD +9.5average 9.5
- Linke -4.5average 11.5
- FDP +3.0average 7.0
- AfD +2.5average 23.0
- Grüne +2.0average 7.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD33
- CDU28
- SPD25
- FDP13
- Grüne12
- Linke9
- AfD + CDU61 of 120
- AfD + SPD + FDP71 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne70 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke67 of 120
- CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke62 of 120
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.