Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 28 May 2023
- Respondents
- 987
- Method
- Online
- AfD32.0%+1.0
- CDU31.0%+1.5
- SPD9.5%-1.0
- Linke9.5%+1.5
- Grüne7.0%-2.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Dec 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 31.0%. 987 people were surveyed from 16 to 28 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Dec 2022, Grüne loses 2.5 points, CDU gains 1.5 points, Linke gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 6.0 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +6.0average 26.0
- CDU -3.0average 34.0
- Grüne -2.0average 9.0
- SPD +1.5average 8.0
- Linke -0.5average 10.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD43
- CDU42
- SPD13
- Linke13
- Grüne9
- AfD + CDU85 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke69 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke68 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne65 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne64 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.