Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 June 2023 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,558
- Method
- Online
- AfD32.5%+0.5
- CDU30.0%-1.0
- SPD10.0%+0.5
- Linke9.0%-0.5
- Grüne7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 32.5%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,558 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 28 May 2023, CDU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 6.5 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +6.5average 26.0
- CDU -4.0average 34.0
- SPD +2.0average 8.0
- Grüne -2.0average 9.0
- Linke -1.0average 10.0
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD42
- CDU38
- SPD13
- Linke12
- Grüne9
- FDP6
- AfD + CDU80 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke67 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne64 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne63 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke63 of 120
- AfD + SPD + FDP61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.