Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 10 November 2023 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Oct 2023 to 7 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,173
- Method
- Online
- AfD32.5%±0
- CDU28.5%-1.5
- SPD8.5%-1.5
- Linke7.5%-1.5
- Grüne5.5%-1.5
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others13.5%+7.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Jun 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 32.5%, followed by CDU on 28.5%. 1,173 people were surveyed from 31 Oct 2023 to 7 Nov 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Jun 2023, CDU loses 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 3.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -3.0average 31.5
- Linke -2.0average 9.5
- Grüne -2.0average 7.5
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- SPD +0.5average 8.0
- AfD ±0average 32.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD47
- CDU42
- SPD12
- Linke11
- Grüne8
- AfD + CDU89 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke70 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne67 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne62 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.