Civey poll of 4 December 2023 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Sächsische Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Nov 2023 to 3 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 3,002
- Method
- Online
- AfD33.0%+3.0
- CDU33.0%-1.0
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- Grüne7.0%-2.0
- Linke7.0%-3.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%-1.0
- FDP2.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Aug 2023.
In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 33.0%. 3,002 people were surveyed from 19 Nov 2023 to 3 Dec 2023, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Aug 2023, AfD gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 4.2 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +4.2average 28.8
- FDP -2.5average 4.5
- Linke -1.3average 8.3
- Grüne +1.2average 5.8
- AfD -0.8average 33.8
- SPD -0.8average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD45
- CDU45
- SPD10
- Grüne10
- Linke10
- AfD + CDU90 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Grüne65 of 120
- AfD + SPD + Linke65 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne65 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Linke65 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke65 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.