Single poll

Civey poll of 6 August 2023 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Sächsische Zeitung
Fieldwork period
23 Jul 2023 to 6 Aug 2023
Respondents
2,400
Method
Online
  • CDU34.0%±0
  • AfD30.0%+4.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • SPD9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne9.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%
  • FDP1.0%-3.0
  • Others3.0%-6.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 May 2023.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 2,400 people were surveyed from 23 Jul 2023 to 6 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 May 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 4.0 points higher and FDP 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +4.0average 30.0
  • FDP -4.0average 5.0
  • AfD -2.5average 32.5
  • Grüne +2.0average 7.0
  • Linke +1.0average 9.0
  • SPD -1.0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 44 seatsAfD: 39 seatsLinke: 13 seatsSPD: 12 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU44
  • AfD39
  • Linke13
  • SPD12
  • Grüne12
  • CDU + AfD83 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD69 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne69 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne68 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD64 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne64 of 120
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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