Single poll

Civey poll of 2 May 2023 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Sächsische Zeitung
Fieldwork period
16 Feb 2023 to 1 May 2023
Respondents
2,402
Method
Online
  • CDU34.0%+5.0
  • AfD26.0%-3.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • Grüne9.0%-1.0
  • SPD8.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Feb 2023.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 2,402 people were surveyed from 16 Feb 2023 to 1 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Feb 2023, CDU gains 5.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 5.0 points lower and CDU 4.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -5.0average 31.0
  • CDU +4.5average 29.5
  • SPD -2.5average 10.5
  • Linke +2.0average 8.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 9.5
  • FDP +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 47 seatsAfD: 36 seatsLinke: 14 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsSPD: 11 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU47
  • AfD36
  • Linke14
  • Grüne12
  • SPD11
  • CDU + AfD83 of 120
  • CDU + Linke61 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD70 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne62 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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