Single poll

Civey poll of 6 February 2023 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Sächsische Zeitung
Fieldwork period
22 Jan 2023 to 5 Feb 2023
Respondents
2,400
Method
Online
  • AfD29.0%-0.6
  • CDU29.0%+1.7
  • Grüne10.0%-2.0
  • SPD9.0%+1.7
  • Linke9.0%-0.6
  • FDP4.0%-2.9
  • Others10.0%+2.7

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Apr 2021.

In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 2,400 people were surveyed from 22 Jan 2023 to 5 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Apr 2021, FDP loses 2.9 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.7 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.0average 31.0
  • SPD -1.5average 10.5
  • Linke +1.0average 8.0
  • CDU -0.5average 29.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 9.5
  • FDP +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

AfD: 40 seatsCDU: 40 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsSPD: 13 seatsLinke: 13 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • AfD40
  • CDU40
  • Grüne14
  • SPD13
  • Linke13
  • AfD + CDU80 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD67 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke67 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD67 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke67 of 120
  • AfD + SPD + Linke66 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Linke66 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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