Single poll

Civey poll of 8 April 2021 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Sächsische Zeitung
Fieldwork period
29 Mar 2021 to 5 Apr 2021
Respondents
2,510
Method
Online
  • AfD29.6%+4.7
  • CDU27.3%-1.7
  • Grüne12.0%+1.1
  • Linke9.6%-5.4
  • SPD7.3%-1.6
  • FDP6.9%+1.2
  • Others7.3%+1.7

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Aug 2019.

In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 29.6%, followed by CDU on 27.3%. 2,510 people were surveyed from 29 Mar 2021 to 5 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by Sächsische Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Aug 2019, Linke loses 5.4 points, AfD gains 4.7 points, CDU loses 1.7 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 6.7 points lower and AfD 3.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -6.7average 34.0
  • AfD +3.6average 26.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 10.0
  • FDP +1.9average 5.0
  • Linke -1.4average 11.0
  • SPD +0.3average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

AfD: 38 seatsCDU: 36 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsLinke: 12 seatsSPD: 9 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • AfD38
  • CDU36
  • Grüne16
  • Linke12
  • SPD9
  • FDP9
  • AfD + CDU74 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke66 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke64 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD63 of 120
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP63 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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