Single poll

Civey poll of 28 August 2019 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
4 to 28 Aug 2019
Respondents
5,015
Method
Online
  • CDU29.0%+1.0
  • AfD24.9%-0.3
  • Linke15.0%±0
  • Grüne10.9%-0.5
  • SPD8.9%+0.4
  • FDP5.7%+0.2
  • Others5.6%-0.8

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Aug 2019.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 24.9%. 5,015 people were surveyed from 4 to 28 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Aug 2019, CDU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +0.9average 8.0
  • FDP +0.7average 5.0
  • CDU -0.5average 29.5
  • Grüne -0.4average 11.3
  • Linke -0.3average 15.3
  • AfD -0.1average 25.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 37 seatsAfD: 32 seatsLinke: 19 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsSPD: 11 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU37
  • AfD32
  • Linke19
  • Grüne14
  • SPD11
  • FDP7
  • CDU + AfD69 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne70 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD67 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne65 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + FDP63 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD62 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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