Civey poll of 20 August 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Jul 2019 to 20 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 5,016
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.0%+0.9
- AfD25.2%-0.2
- Linke15.0%±0
- Grüne11.4%+0.6
- SPD8.5%-0.2
- FDP5.5%-0.1
- Others6.4%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Jul 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 25.2%. 5,016 people were surveyed from 23 Jul 2019 to 20 Aug 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Jul 2019, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.9average 12.3
- CDU +0.7average 27.3
- Linke -0.7average 15.7
- AfD -0.5average 25.7
- FDP +0.5average 5.0
- SPD +0.2average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU36
- AfD32
- Linke19
- Grüne15
- SPD11
- FDP7
- CDU + AfD68 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne70 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP62 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + SPD62 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.