Civey poll of 25 July 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jun 2019 to 25 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 5,019
- Method
- Online
- CDU27.1%-2.6
- AfD25.4%+1.9
- Linke15.0%-1.6
- Grüne10.8%+0.2
- SPD8.7%-1.6
- FDP5.6%+1.0
- Others7.4%+2.7
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 27.1%, followed by AfD on 25.4%. 5,019 people were surveyed from 27 Jun 2019 to 25 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2019, CDU loses 2.6 points, AfD gains 1.9 points, Linke loses 1.6 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 3.2 points lower and CDU 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.2average 14.0
- CDU +2.4average 24.7
- SPD +0.7average 8.0
- AfD +0.4average 25.0
- Linke -0.3average 15.3
- FDP -0.1average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU35
- AfD33
- Linke20
- Grüne14
- SPD11
- FDP7
- CDU + AfD68 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne69 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne67 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD64 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.