Civey poll of 13 June 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 15 May 2019 to 12 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 5,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU29.7%+0.3
- AfD23.5%+2.7
- Linke16.6%-0.8
- Grüne10.6%+0.7
- SPD10.3%-1.3
- FDP4.6%-1.5
- Others4.7%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Apr 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 29.7%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 5,001 people were surveyed from 15 May 2019 to 12 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Apr 2019, AfD gains 2.7 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.3 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 5.4 points lower and CDU 4.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.4average 16.0
- CDU +4.2average 25.5
- AfD +2.0average 21.5
- SPD +1.3average 9.0
- FDP -0.9average 5.5
- Linke +0.1average 16.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU39
- AfD31
- Linke22
- SPD14
- Grüne14
- CDU + AfD70 of 120
- CDU + Linke61 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne67 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne67 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.