Single poll

Civey poll of 16 April 2019 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
19 Mar 2019 to 16 Apr 2019
Respondents
3,852
Method
Online
  • CDU29.4%
  • AfD20.8%
  • Linke17.4%
  • SPD11.6%
  • Grüne9.9%
  • FDP6.1%
  • Others4.8%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 29.4%, followed by AfD on 20.8%. 3,852 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2019 to 16 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.6 points lower and CDU 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.6average 12.5
  • CDU +1.9average 27.5
  • SPD +1.6average 10.0
  • AfD -0.7average 21.5
  • FDP +0.6average 5.5
  • Linke +0.4average 17.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 37 seatsAfD: 26 seatsLinke: 22 seatsSPD: 15 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU37
  • AfD26
  • Linke22
  • SPD15
  • Grüne12
  • FDP8
  • CDU + AfD63 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD74 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne71 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + FDP67 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne64 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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