Saxony state election 2019: the result
In the Saxony state election on 1 September 2019, CDU became the largest party with 32.1%, 4.6 points ahead of AfD (27.5%).
- Failed to clear the threshold
- FDP (4.5%), Freie Wähler (3.4%), Die PARTEI (1.5%), NPD (0.6%), Piraten (0.3%)
- Polls one week before
- off by 2.1 points per party on average, Linke overestimated by 5.0
- Turnout
- 66.5%
- Status
- official final result
Result of the 2019 state election
Turnout in the Saxony state election on 1 September 2019 was 66.5%. The Saxon Landtag has 119 seats; a majority needs 60.
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
| Party | Votes 2019 (%) | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 32.1% | 45 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 27.5% | 38 |
| Die Linke | 10.4% | 14 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 8.6% | 12 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 7.7% | 10 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 4.5% | – |
| Freie Wähler | 3.4% | – |
| Die PARTEI | 1.5% | – |
| Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 0.6% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.3% | – |
| Others | 3.4% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 119 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Saxon Landtag after the 2019 result
119 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.
- CDU45
- AfD38
- Linke14
- Grüne12
- SPD10
Which alliances had a majority after the 2019 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- CDU + AfD83 of 119
- CDU + Linke + Grüne71 of 119
- CDU + Linke + SPD69 of 119
- CDU + Grüne + SPD67 of 119
- AfD + Linke + Grüne64 of 119
- AfD + Linke + SPD62 of 119
- AfD + Grüne + SPD60 of 119
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2019 state election
8 polls between 6 Aug 2019 and 29 Aug 2019, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | Linke | Grüne | SPD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Die PARTEI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2019 | 32 | 24.5 | 14 | 11 | 8.5 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Civey | 28 Aug 2019 | 29 | 24.9 | 15 | 10.9 | 8.9 | 5.7 | – | – | ||
| INSA | 27 Aug 2019 | 29 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | – | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Aug 2019 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | – | ||
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2019 | 30 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 | – | ||
| Civey | 20 Aug 2019 | 28 | 25.2 | 15 | 11.4 | 8.5 | 5.5 | – | – | ||
| IM Field | 20 Aug 2019 | 28 | 26 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3 | – | ||
| INSA | 6 Aug 2019 | 28 | 25 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 5 | – | – | ||
| Min – Max | 28–32 | 24–26 | 14–16 | 10–13 | 7–9 | 5–5.7 | 3–4 | – | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
Last poll before the election: Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, 29 Aug 2019
Who came closest before the 2019 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | CDU | AfD | Linke | Grüne | SPD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 1 Sep 2019 | 32.1% | 27.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 29 Aug 2019 (3 days before) | -0.1 | -3.0 | +3.6 | +2.4 | +0.8 | +0.5 | – | 1.7 |
| INSA | 27 Aug 2019 (5 days before) | -3.1 | -2.5 | +4.6 | +2.4 | +0.3 | +0.5 | +0.6 | 2.0 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2019 (10 days before) | -2.1 | -3.5 | +5.6 | +2.4 | -0.7 | +0.5 | +0.6 | 2.2 |
| IM Field | 20 Aug 2019 (12 days before) | -4.1 | -1.5 | +5.6 | +4.4 | +0.3 | +0.5 | -0.4 | 2.4 |
| Civey | 28 Aug 2019 (4 days before) | -3.1 | -2.6 | +4.6 | +2.3 | +1.2 | +1.2 | – | 2.5 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.