INSA poll of 6 August 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 31 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,011
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU28.0%+4.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- Linke16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-4.0
- SPD8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 22 to 31 Jul 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2019, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.3average 25.7
- Linke +1.0average 15.0
- SPD -0.6average 8.6
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
- Grüne -0.3average 12.3
- AfD -0.1average 25.1
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU36
- AfD32
- Linke21
- Grüne15
- SPD10
- FDP6
- CDU + AfD68 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne72 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne68 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD67 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP63 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.