INSA poll of 13 June 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,057
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD25.0%-1.0
- CDU24.0%-4.0
- Grüne16.0%+7.0
- Linke16.0%±0
- SPD7.0%-3.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
- Others2.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,057 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jun 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.4 points lower and AfD 4.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.4average 28.4
- AfD +4.2average 20.8
- SPD -3.7average 10.7
- Grüne +2.7average 13.3
- Freie Wähler +2.0average 2.0
- FDP +1.2average 4.8
- Linke -0.8average 16.8
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD32
- CDU31
- Grüne20
- Linke20
- SPD9
- FDP8
- AfD + CDU63 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke72 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke71 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + SPD61 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.