INSA poll of 26 April 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 24 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU28.0%±0
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- Linke16.0%-1.0
- SPD10.0%+1.0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others2.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Apr 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 6.6 points higher and Grüne 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +6.6average 19.4
- Grüne -4.0average 13.0
- SPD -1.3average 11.3
- Linke -1.2average 17.2
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 2.0
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- CDU -0.2average 28.2
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU35
- AfD33
- Linke20
- SPD13
- Grüne11
- FDP8
- CDU + AfD68 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD68 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne64 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP63 of 120
- AfD + Linke + FDP61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.