INSA poll of 27 August 2019 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 26 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,018
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU29.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- Linke15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- SPD8.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%
- Others3.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Aug 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Aug 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Aug 2019, CDU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 3.3
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- CDU -0.3average 29.3
- Linke -0.3average 15.3
- AfD -0.1average 25.1
- SPD -0.1average 8.1
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU38
- AfD32
- Linke19
- Grüne14
- SPD10
- FDP7
- CDU + AfD70 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne71 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne65 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP64 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + SPD62 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.