Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 August 2019 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
26 to 29 Aug 2019
Respondents
1,657
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU32.0%+1.0
  • AfD24.5%-0.5
  • Linke14.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • SPD8.5%-0.5
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2019.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 1,657 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2019, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 3.0 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 29.0
  • Linke -1.5average 15.5
  • AfD -0.5average 25.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 11.5
  • SPD +0.5average 8.0
  • FDP -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 40 seatsAfD: 31 seatsLinke: 18 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsSPD: 11 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU40
  • AfD31
  • Linke18
  • Grüne14
  • SPD11
  • FDP6
  • CDU + AfD71 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne72 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD69 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD65 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + FDP64 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne63 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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