Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 August 2019 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
19 to 22 Aug 2019
Respondents
1,068
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU31.0%
  • AfD25.0%
  • Linke14.0%
  • Grüne10.0%
  • SPD9.0%
  • FDP5.0%
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,068 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU 2.5 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.5average 28.5
  • Grüne -1.9average 11.9
  • Linke -1.8average 15.8
  • SPD +1.1average 7.9
  • Freie Wähler -0.7average 3.7
  • AfD -0.1average 25.1
  • FDP -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 40 seatsAfD: 32 seatsLinke: 18 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsSPD: 11 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU40
  • AfD32
  • Linke18
  • Grüne13
  • SPD11
  • FDP6
  • CDU + AfD72 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne71 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD69 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + FDP64 of 120
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD64 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne63 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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