Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 August 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,028
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU33.0%-1.0
- AfD30.0%±0
- BSW11.0%±0
- SPD7.0%+1.0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 1,028 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 9 Aug 2024, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has BSW 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -3.0average 14.0
- SPD +1.2average 5.8
- CDU +1.1average 31.9
- Grüne +0.6average 5.4
- AfD -0.5average 30.5
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU46
- AfD41
- BSW15
- SPD10
- Grüne8
- CDU + AfD87 of 120
- CDU + BSW61 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne64 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.