Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 29 August 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,973
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU33.0%±0
- AfD30.0%±0
- BSW12.0%+1.0
- SPD6.0%-1.0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 1,973 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Aug 2024, BSW gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has BSW 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.0average 14.0
- CDU +0.9average 32.1
- Grüne +0.6average 5.4
- AfD -0.5average 30.5
- Linke +0.1average 3.9
- SPD ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU46
- AfD41
- BSW17
- SPD8
- Grüne8
- CDU + AfD87 of 120
- CDU + BSW63 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD66 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.