Forsa poll of 30 August 2024 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,012
- Method
- Online
- CDU33.0%±0
- AfD31.0%+1.0
- BSW12.0%-1.0
- SPD7.0%+1.0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 31.0%. 1,012 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Aug 2024, AfD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.8average 13.8
- Linke -1.1average 4.1
- SPD +1.0average 6.0
- CDU +0.9average 32.1
- Grüne +0.6average 5.4
- AfD +0.5average 30.5
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU45
- AfD42
- BSW16
- SPD9
- Grüne8
- CDU + AfD87 of 120
- CDU + BSW61 of 120
- AfD + BSW + SPD67 of 120
- AfD + BSW + Grüne66 of 120
- CDU + SPD + Grüne62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.