Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 22 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,296
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-2.0
- BSW6.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Mar 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,296 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 Mar 2024, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 30.2
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- AfD +0.3average 17.7
- SPD -0.2average 16.2
- BSW -0.1average 6.1
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU233
- AfD135
- SPD120
- Grüne97
- BSW45
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.