Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 8 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,260
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Feb 2024.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,260 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Mar 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Feb 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- BSW -1.4average 6.4
- FDP -1.0average 5.0
- AfD -0.8average 18.8
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 2.5
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU228
- AfD136
- SPD114
- Grüne114
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.